Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.417901 4.950872 5.531221 6.211466 6.988680 7.850983 8.882886
2025-02-02 3.742236 4.474485 5.332841 6.418878 7.764175 9.385973 11.504271
2025-02-09 3.280360 4.114953 5.148612 6.534583 8.361900 10.713219 14.007425
2025-02-16 2.939594 3.832014 4.987453 6.611965 8.867345 11.932880 16.492652
2025-02-23 2.676323 3.604195 4.851771 6.678886 9.332166 13.116741 19.055147
2025-03-02 2.385143 3.299920 4.569211 6.493041 9.395469 13.710362 20.802745
2025-03-09 2.176189 3.085535 4.384029 6.415235 9.590076 14.496393 22.923304
2025-03-16 1.996056 2.893279 4.208129 6.324888 9.742688 15.217295 25.014933
2025-03-23 1.925868 2.855638 4.255166 6.576609 10.454697 16.906532 28.971377
2025-03-30 1.802851 2.725399 4.146201 6.564319 10.724849 17.879600 31.787563
2025-04-06 1.683936 2.591018 4.017630 6.503937 10.900624 18.699404 34.424339
2025-04-13 1.516977 2.367060 3.726522 6.141160 10.506195 18.445334 34.938236
2025-04-20 1.438583 2.283836 3.663738 6.173110 10.835946 19.588259 38.471632
2025-04-27 1.397344 2.258931 3.696357 6.376367 11.504456 21.461350 43.843111
2025-05-04 1.344108 2.209212 3.681555 6.490646 12.014251 23.084420 48.952868
2025-05-11 1.289359 2.152418 3.649050 6.567324 12.456248 24.622155 54.136828
2025-05-18 1.237574 2.096777 3.613602 6.633707 12.882506 26.178298 59.641939
2025-05-25 1.154729 1.979756 3.457321 6.449287 12.766768 26.536175 62.256020
2025-06-01 1.093419 1.897687 3.359597 6.372076 12.868766 27.390381 66.283560
2025-06-08 1.035353 1.817809 3.260218 6.282420 12.933255 28.164551 70.240847
2025-06-15 1.023054 1.822477 3.322479 6.532212 13.779648 30.900319 80.122134
2025-06-22 0.980593 1.767029 3.263543 6.520016 14.026070 32.207149 86.203543
2025-06-29 0.935764 1.704239 3.185706 6.460098 14.153970 33.232887 91.663038